NFL predictions

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by GusFrerotte

I like your line of predicting the losses, but when the hell in recent memory have we ever swept the Gmen? I mean in recent years we should have swept them many times on paper only to piss victory away. I see us sweeping Dallas before we sweep NY.

Well, if you will grant for a second that the teams are equal, the Redskins would have a 25% chance of sweeping the Giants. That doesn't sound like very much, but when you are picking game by game, the probability of getting any random 2 games right is actually probably a little lower than 25%. This is because of an information gap.

Now if you think the Giants are better than the Redskins, by a significant amount, well, then yeah, it's a pretty silly prediction. But it's not hard to see why the Redskins would have both a Week 1 advantage (relative health), and a Week 15 advantage (home field).