Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by D'BOYZ

C'mon the Miami point was made that I wouldn't picked them again because they've lost twice when I picked them. The bad luck thing is meant to be funny you're nitpicking here.

And it's Ironic you're saying that I don't accept the reality that I made my mistakes but almost everyone here is delusional about their own team and how they're playing.

Now every week there are bad calls like Jacksonville over Arizona I did last week and bad luck ( It happens in the NFL, every sport and life Dummy) Like Cin losing to Denver on a desperation weird play in the last seconds. Get Real.

So if a Pick in Basketball Cleveland over Chicago and they are winning by 2 in the final seconds and a guy from Chicago throws the ball from his own court and nails the 3 pointer to win the game at the buzzer. You're saying I lost because I made the bad pick it wasn't bad luck... if you really believe that luck has nothing to do with sports than I'm unwise in the eyes of Plato, But you sir are just unwise

But you're looking at it completely wrong. All picking games really comes down to is probabilities. You take all the information you can get, toss out what you deem to be valueless, and then you make the best pick.

Anyone here can do that. Where you have to make your money is by finding games where there's a blowout waiting to happen, but vegas necessarily doesn't see it that way. Calling a game to be "close" is basically saying that you could have gone either way (whether straight or the spread), but you hope to be lucky. Speaking in absolutes (and take this from me) just makes you look like an ass.

I happen to be a quite horrible game picker, btw. I don't bill myself as someone who can pick 12 games right per week though.