Kiper says it's likely Skins will trade down

[Beemnseven]

I have to admit, it is very easy to say "let's trade next year's #1 for another #1 THIS year".

Then, if there's an injury, or one of your first round picks doesn't pan out, you're kicking yourself in April 2005.

But I will say this: NOTHING is guaranteed. Not Sean Taylor, not Kellen Winslow Jr.

Don't fall into that trap -- you'll just get burned. How many of us thought Heath Shuler, Ryan Leaf, and Tony Mandarich were "guaranteed" ??