Tebow or McCoy?

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by CRedskinsRule

Gtripp can you give performances ranges that define elite/strong/above average in the various categories?

I can give you my baselines for averages and medians:

All data includes drafted players since 2005.

QB Starts - median 33, average 32
Completion percentage* - median 61%, average 61%

*(the average of players expected to be drafted in this class is actually pushing 64%. I split the difference and used 62.5% because of the possibility that the spread concepts behind this increase are here to stay, and the possibility that this is just a strong class).

TD Rate - 5.86%
INT rate - 2.64%
Sack Rate* - median 5.8%, average 6.0%

*(This class is median 5.2%, average 5.0%. I used these baselines instead of the historically higher ones)

Career deviation was literally the standard deviation of the spread of values over the four years of a players college eligibility, with passing attempts per year determining the value. 12 was the average, although, I don't really have anyway to make that number meaningful. I don't think variance is inherently bad: it's bad in highly rated prospects, but good in lower rated prospects.

Bradford's numbers are really completely off all the charts, but his career path was highly unorthodox and his incredible TD/INT rate is unlikely to translate anyway.